Not Just the Assassination: This is Why Iran Will Attack Israel

Former AMAN chief, Major General (res.) Amos Yadlin, refers to Israel's preparations for an Iranian attack and states that the attack will be more significant than the one in April, as the Iranians will want to rectify their failure.

In an interview with Radio 103FM, Yadlin said: "The Iranians will take a moment to think. They need to confirm what was reported by the New York Times; I’m not sure it has happened yet, and they need to prepare their mode of action. How many cruise missiles and drones do they want to launch? Will they do it alone or in coordination with their main proxy, Hezbollah, and what targets in Israel will they aim at—military or civilian?"

He added: "If they have escalated since April 13 (the previous attack), I don’t think they will scale back because they have crossed some psychological barrier of direct fire at Israel. In the past, they did not want to get entangled; they did it either through their proxy or through covert operations from Argentina to Europe."

Yadlin clarified: "When you fail, and there is no doubt they failed in April, you conduct an investigation and try to correct the type of attack, the missiles you use, maybe the quantities, or perhaps not giving us warning and not using drones that fly for eight hours, but only ballistic missiles that fly between 10 to 12 minutes. They have a lot of work to do, so I think the response will not be immediate; they will take their time to plan."

However, Yadlin emphasized: "They do not want war. The Iranian strategy is not to confront Israel, which, despite all its weaknesses, is a regional power with military capabilities demonstrated after the previous attack. They fired 300 missiles and hit nothing, and we fired three missiles right between the eyes of an S-300 battery. They understand the vulnerabilities; they understand what will happen to them. They have read in the newspapers about various strategic capabilities of the State of Israel. They do not want direct war."

"There is a difference between a single attack and a war. The Iranian strategy is to encircle Israel with proxies, exhaust it, drag it into a conflict with low risks for Iran, but high risks for Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis, and to make our lives miserable here in a prolonged war."