Lebanon in chaos: Hezbollah’s major dilemma 

On Tuesday, Hezbollah faced a significant challenge as the pagers, intended for its members, detonated in various locations. The explosions not only led to casualties among its ranks but also highlighted the group's connections to Iran. The situation escalated further with additional explosions on Wednesday, leaving Hezbollah in a state of uncertainty according to Jerusalem Post reports.

A crucial aspect of Hezbollah's identity is its portrayal as an elite and relatively secure militant group within Lebanon. This sense of safety has been essential for the organization, which has historically threatened to retaliate against Israel for attacks in regions like Beirut and Bekaa Valley. Over the past eleven months, Hezbollah has responded to various incidents in these areas with escalated attacks on Israel.

Despite Israel's military actions, Hezbollah previously exhibited no signs of fear, maintaining its rhetoric and public demonstrations of strength. This confidence has been vital for the group's cohesion as a military organization. In recent years, Hezbollah has expanded its influence, notably participating in the Syrian Civil War and supporting the Syrian regime.

Following the assassination of Qassem Soleimani in 2020, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah assumed a more prominent role, strengthening ties with the Houthis and coordinating attacks against Israel alongside Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) officials.

As Hezbollah contemplates its response to Israel’s actions, it is acutely aware that any retaliation could lead to further chaos and challenges within its ranks. The organization is under scrutiny not just from Israel, but also from Iran and other allied groups, including the Iranian-backed militias in Iraq, which recently attempted a drone strike against Israel.