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No Change Before The Sea Change?

Poll: Netanyahu camp steady, Gantz can't win without Ra'am

A new Midgam poll shows little change in the relative strengths of the parties and camps.

Israeli elections. Illustration.
Photo: Michael Giladi/Flash90

A new Midgam poll for Channel 12 News published yesterday (Wednesday) shows little change from February in terms of the relative strength and size of the parties and political blocs.

If the election were held today, Likud would get 25 seats, State Camp 16, Yesh Atid 14, Democrats 14, Yisrael Beytenu 12, Shas 9, UTJ 8, Otzmah Yehudit 8, Hadash-Ta'al 5, Ra'am 5, Religious Zionism 4.

Balad and New Right would not pass the electoral threshold.

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Netanyahu's camp would get 54 seats, a peak in the past few months according to this poll, and one reached in February.

Gantz's camp would get a bare majority of 61 seats, but only if it formed a coalition with the Ra'am party. Without Ra'am, Gantz's coalition would have just two seats more than Netanyahu, with 56.

Multiple opposition leaders have said that they refuse to sit with the Ra'am party in the same government due to the statements of its members on October 7 and Gaza, or at the very least refuse to let the party be the "61st vote" that gives them a majority.

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