While the INSS acknowledges the potential benefits for Israel under Trump's administration, it also highlights the risks associated with his tendency to make impulsive decisions that lack consistency and strategic foresight.
As Trump embarks on his second term, the INSS has released a policy paper outlining the strategies Israel should adopt in response to the new U.S. administration’s evolving priorities. The paper considers both the opportunities and challenges presented by Trump's policies, which will have direct and indirect implications for Israeli national security and foreign relations, according to ICE reports.
One of the key opportunities identified by the INSS is the potential for Israel to strengthen its ties with Saudi Arabia and other Arab nations, which could lead to a broader normalization process in the Middle East. This shift could also contribute to efforts to weaken Iran, a central goal for both Israel and the United States. The paper envisions increased collaboration in critical areas such as technology, artificial intelligence, and military security, including strategic partnerships in Syria and Lebanon.
However, the INSS also notes significant caveats. Trump's "America First" approach often focuses on reducing U.S. involvement in overseas conflicts and prioritizing domestic interests. This stance contrasts with Israel's more proactive security policy, which involves addressing threats beyond its borders. Additionally, the report suggests that Trump’s ultimate motivation might be securing his legacy, with a particular emphasis on international recognition, such as the possibility of receiving the Nobel Peace Prize.
Despite the potential benefits, the INSS warns that Trump’s decision-making process can often be erratic, lacking a systematic strategy. This unpredictability was evident during his first term and remains a concern moving forward. The Institute concludes that Israel must remain adaptable and cautious, preparing for the uncertainty of future U.S. actions under Trump's leadership.
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