Despite the dramatic announcement this evening (Thursday) by Minister Ben Gvir from the government, that he would resign if the deal is approved – as of now, there are no significant implications for the dissolution of the government in the immediate term. It can be said that the stability of the government and the coalition has significantly deteriorated without the votes of the Otzma Yehudit members.
The coalition is now left with only 62 votes, and this situation already resembles the change government where any rebellious Knesset member or minister can undermine the coalition's and the government's stability and threaten its downfall. Additionally, of course, this move affects Bezalel Smotrich and Religious Zionism, and now all the pressure is on them.
Ben Gvir, together with right-wing organizations, bereaved families, and some families of hostages who oppose the deal, will continue to exert pressure on the religious Zionism to join the movement with Ben Gvir and resign from the government in an attempt to block the hostage deal at the last moment.
It should be noted that Smotrich has not yet made a final decision and is continuing the marathon of talks he has been holding in recent days with the Prime Minister, aiming to include guarantees in the deal that will prevent the war from being halted.
In any case, it should be noted that despite the heavy pressure from right-wing organizations, it seems that even the joining of Smotrich to the move of Ben Gvir and Otzma Yehudit is not expected to topple the deal, as there is a guaranteed safety net for the deal from the opposition leader Yair Lapid and the chairman of the National Unity party, Benny Gantz.
Meanwhile, another but more technical implication of this move is the departure of Knesset member Tzvi Sukkot from the Knesset because he entered under the Norwegian Law, and the resignation of Otzma Yehudit ministers returns them to the Knesset and the Knesset member from the Religious Zionism party to the house. In such a case, Minister Smotrich, who resigned from the Knesset under the Norwegian Law, will also have to return to the Knesset to replace Knesset member Kreutzer from Otzma Yehudit, who also entered under the Norwegian Law.
We remind you that during the past week, Otzma Yehudit members have already voted against the coalition.
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