Netanyahu’s Secret October 6 Triangle Exposed: War Without Victory, Division Without End, and a Failing Strategy of Refusal

As part of the broader effort to divide the nation and return public discourse to the political dimensions it had before October 7 — dimensions that served Netanyahu and his coalition of the oppressed and marginalized — and in parallel with an attempt to drag out the war as long as possible in order to avoid the establishment of a state commission of inquiry, as expected and deserved, and thereby also to avoid achieving meaningful military objectives that could lead to the defeat of Hamas — because defeating Hamas would mean a victory in the war, and such a victory would inevitably lead to an investigation — Netanyahu now appears to be trying to introduce a third element: mass refusal to serve in the IDF.

Essentially, after:

3. It now seems that Netanyahu, by dragging the war on indefinitely without a decisive outcome, by exhausting the reservists, and by eroding the principle of justice, the notion of military victory, and the motivation to serve — is attempting to create yet another divisive reality to his advantage: refusal to serve.

The problem is that this third side of the "October 6 Triangle" he is attempting to construct will not work for him — because today’s refusal is not ideological. It comes from many nationalist, patriotic, and traditional individuals who are fed up with aimless stagnation, with victories that turn into retreats. Netanyahu will not succeed in integrating this third side into his triangle — but the very attempt to do so reveals one very clear thing: far beyond a supposed attempt at bureaucratic reform, it reflects perhaps the clinical nature of Netanyahu.

Who remembers that Trump gave him a blank check for victory? The U.S. President didn’t realize that a military victory would mean the end of Netanyahu’s public career and the beginning of investigations. A victory, as we say in Hebrew, was 'out of the question.'