Politics, United States

Gallup: More Republicans than Democrats for first time in decades

A new Gallup polling average on partisan affiliation, which has been predictive of every election since 1992, may contain clues for the results of the coming election.

Republican or Democrat? (Photo: Melnikov Dmitriy/Shutterstock)

A polling average released by Gallup yesterday (Tuesday) for the months of July-September shows more American voters leaning towards the Republican party than the Democratic Party, 48-45.

According to Gallup, this is the first time the Republican Party has had such a lead since 1992, when Republicans generally win elections when they are "only" behind Democrats by a relatively small number.

Per Gallup's analysis, the result of the July-September average has been predictive of every election since 1992, though there is no way of knowing what a Republican majority election might look like, if the numbers are converted into votes.

A new poll by Muhlenberg College/Morning Call released today shows Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris tied for the race to win the state of Pennsylvania, a must-win swing state for both candidates with 19 electoral votes.

Both Trump and Harris get 48% of the vote from likely voters in the poll, a result in line with multiple polls over the past few weeks which showed both candidates in a dead heat or very close statistical tie.

US Election 2024 Kamala Harris Donald Trump Republican Party Democratic Party

Comments

Do not send comments that include inflammatory words, defamation and content that exceeds the limit of good taste.

The comment was sent successfully.
Soon the response will be examined by our editors and if it is found to be correct it will be published on the website.
The comment was sent successfully.
Soon the response will be examined by our editors and if it is found to be correct it will be published on the website.


Just wait til Trump is in power

Mike Walz responds to ICC: Expect a strong American response in January
Gila Isaacson | 21.11.24

Biden, Israel, and the journey of the US President

In honor of his birthday: 10 things you didn't know about Joe Biden
Eliana Fleming, JFeed Staff | 20.11.24

AOC vs. AIPAC

AOC blames Jews for Democrats' loss
Avi Nachmani | 19.11.24

Crying over spilled milk

Harris would have won if she picked Josh Shapiro, poll shows
Gila Isaacson | 19.11.24

Biden has nothing left to lose

Biden Admin weighs dramatic shift on UN Israel policy
Gila Isaacson, JFeed Staff | 19.11.24

Sounds Like A Good Idea

Ron DeSantis: This is how I will choose Rubio's replacement
Avi Woolf | 18.11.24

Waiting for Trump to deal with Iran

Netanyahu: Stopping Iran's nukes to be discussed with Trump team 
Avi Nachmani | 18.11.24

Good luck to all the social media giants

BREAKING: Trump picks Brendan Carr to head FCC
Gila Isaacson | 18.11.24

Orthodox Jews are huge Trump fans

Survey shows 75% of Orthodox voters supported Trump, but most Jews stay blue 
Avi Nachmani | 18.11.24