While government officials threaten, often with empty threats, to topple the government if Netanyahu does not meet their demands, a mandate survey published today (Monday) in Ma'ariv shows that, in the event of elections, Israel faces another cycle of uncertainty with what now seems to be a single potential solution.
According to the current survey results, the "State Camp" has 24 mandates, Likud has 23 mandates – nearly overlapping. Yisrael Beiteinu has 14 mandates, and Otzma Yehudit has 10 mandates.
The survey results are as follows:
- The "State Camp": 24 mandates
- Likud: 23 mandates
- Yisrael Beiteinu: 14 mandates
- Yesh Atid: 12 mandates
- Otzma Yehudit: 10 mandates
- Shas: 9 mandates
- The Democrats: 8 mandates
- United Torah Judaism: 7 mandates
- Hadash-Ta'al: 5 mandates
- Ra'am: 4 mandates
- Religious Zionism: 4 mandates
Gideon Saar and Balad do not cross the electoral threshold. According to the survey, the current government does not have the ability to form a government. This raises the second question in the survey, making things more interesting, as it examines new parties that have not yet competed. For example, a new party led by Naftali Bennett is expected to receive 22 mandates and become a surprise in the elections. Essentially, Bennett's party becomes the deciding factor and could determine whether a right-wing government is formed.