A new poll conducted by Israel Hayom and Maagar Mochot polling looked at how the political map would look based on a number of possible election scenarios.
Based on the poll, if the elections took place today, the Knesset seat breakdown would look like this: State Camp – 34, Likud – 19, Yesh Atid – 15, Shas – 10, Yisrael Beiteinu – 9, Otzmah Yehudit – 8, UTJ – 7, Religious Zionism – 5, Ra’am – 5, Hadash-Ta’al – 4, Meretz – 4. Balad and Labour would not hit the electoral threshold with 2% and 1.8%, respectively.
If Nir Barkat headed Likud, he would get 19 seats – as much as Netanyahu. If Yossi Cohen heads the Likud, the party would go up to 22 seats.
Another scenario looked at was a party headed by Yossi Cohen and Naftali Bennet. In that case, the new party would get 23 seats, State Camp would get 23 seats, Yisrael Beiteinu would get 7, Yesh Atid just 10, Likud 13, Religious Zionism 5, and Otzmah Yehudit 7.